Could you post where got the raw data from? I'd like to do some similar analysis myself. Anon, The data is from a spreadsheet I created manually some time in the s. Data since then is from some combination of Barron's, Morningstar and the local paper from where ever I was living at the time.
I'm guessing that doesn't help you very much So, I'll see if I can figure out how to post a spreadsheet. It may take a while. This comment has been removed by the author.
Anon, Done see Related Reading. Sorry it took so long. The central bank recklessly engineered an enormous bubble to form starting in the 's, so big that it dwarfs the 's bubble. Anybody who thinks we're getting out of this ok needs to re examine the facts.
All of the current attempts such to re inflate this bubble, such as taxpayer subsidized auto, home and appliance sales will only hasten the day when the former united states is at the mercy of the world. I agree with your analysis up to the point were we are now.
Inflation Adjusted Housing Prices
However, the problem is that we are shipping jobs overseas at an alarming rate. What used to be American companies are now multinational, and those companies have shifted operations to China and elsewhere. Over the long term as this trend expands, the United States will be faced with deflation as values decline and wages fall.
At the same time, the American government has removed most of the safeguards put into place after the Great Depression, and thus placed us in a position for banks and brokerage houses to fail.
Unless the regulations making banks, banks and limiting their size and function, and brokerage houses are not permitted to be banks, our financial system will not be sound. Much appreciate your analysis here.
Its now over a year later, how do you think the situation has changed? I'm not sure that I understand your question, but I'll try to answer anyway. The value of looking at year charts is that one additional year doesn't change very much. That's the advantage of looking at history from this broad perspective. When I update the year chart at the end of the year, to me it won't look significantly different from the way it looked a year ago.
Inflation Adjusted Stock Market Returns At Historic Juncture | See It Market
As a result, my interpretation is likely to be the same -- I'll still see stock market history as consisting of periods of excitement followed by "long relatively flat periods" where the underlying businesses have to catch up to a previously euphoric stock market. So, I would not be surprised if years from now a like-minded soul doing a similar analysis reached a similar conclusion.
In that sense, the situation is unchanged. But, understand that what looks "flat" in hindsight doesn't necessarily feel that way when you're in the midst of it. For example, were horrible years for the stock market; were very nice. In hindsight, taking the big view, all those years were part of a long flat period.
So, even in these flat periods there are opportunities to make, or lose, a lot of money over the short stock market inflation adjusted chart. From that point of view, it's clear that the situation has changed in that investing a year ago would have produced better results than investing now.
I'm guessing forex news dallas education online trading trading card11 already knew that. Have you ever posted the figures for the years? I need the year end number for the years - The stock market is gambling, to be sure. But putting all your money into cash equivalents is also risky- at best, if you are in TIPS, your money will only keep pace with inflation.
While investing in the stock market does involve risk, in my opinion calling it "gambling" goes too far. Unfortunately, I don't know the answer -- yet. Since we're looking at the stock market sinceit would be helpful to see those numbers adjusted for inflation.
I plan to add inflation data later this year or early next year. The bigger issue is still inflation-adjusting the whole chart. Definitely plan to do that this year. I have to make a line graph charting an individual stock in the month of november but in a year from the late 's to I don't know of any general source for such info. Maybe the most likely epm stock market sipp for data that old and that detailed is the companies themselves.
Apparently property will struggle to beat inflation for the near future. Does the stock market fair the same? Comment spam will not be earn home moms money work workathome1.net. See comment guidelines here. Sorry, but I can no longer accept anonymous comments.
Sunday, October 12, Years of Stock Market History log graph. It shows year-end closing stock market bhavishyavani india through See Yearly Returns for a bar chart of the returns each year. The Long Flat Periods On the other hand, the close of 96 was not permanently eclipsed until 28 years later -- ; the close of was not permanently eclipsed until 17 years later -- This is a log graph.
If you are not familiar with them, see About Stock Market Log Graphs. In the long term, you would expect that stock market performance should approximate the performance of the underlying businesses.
The above chart and discussion ignores the impact of inflation. To see the long flat periods adjusted for inflation, see Years of Inflation-Adjusted Stock Market History. In addition, it includes the most recent projection for year market returns. The year moving average can be a useful addition to the above graph. That is, historically this moving average has been a reliable support level during secular bear markets.
That graph is updated infrequently, as appropriate. Other long-term perspective posts Years of Treasury Bond Interest Rates: Stock market inflation adjusted chart perspective on interest rates. Inflation-Adjusted Stock Market History: Lyrics to make money lloyd banks this post, but adjusted for inflation.
And, another eye-opening perspective on earning money by uploading videos long flat periods.Silver Inflation Adjusted and Nominal Charts - Apr 2013
Graph of housing price index since Dow Yearly Return History: Borrowing Returns from the Future: Dow Index Inflation-Adjusted Close History: Impact of inflation adjustment on the long flat periods. The Composition of Year Returns: Who's Afraid of a Sideways Market? Interesting perspective on long flat periods from Morningstar.
For other popular posts, see the sidebar to the left or the blog header. Data and Computations For those who would like to perform additional analysis, see this post for a link to my Dow Jones yearly closing data and the associated calculations. The spreadsheet will automatically calculate the Dow's growth rate between any two years you input e.
Posted by Al at Share to Twitter Share to Facebook Share to Pinterest. Anonymous November 15, at 8: Al November 15, at 6: Al November 28, at Al November 29, at 5: Anonymous October 22, at 4: Pfred Pfudpucker October 28, at 9: Jon December 17, at 5: Al December 20, at Al February 19, at 6: Al September 22, at 6: Al November 6, at Anonymous January 18, at Al January 19, at Al April 22, at 8: Anonymous October 29, at 7: Al October 29, at 9: December 7, at 2: Newer Post Older Post Home.
Getting Started With Windows 8: The Start Screen How Much Money Will You Need to Retire? How Much Should You Have in Savings? What Percent of Your Salary Should You Save? Or, Get New Posts Via Most Popular Posts All-Time Top Average Stock Market Return Since 19xx.
Stock Market Long-Term Average Annual Rate of Return e. What is the long-term perfor Investors expecting bond funds to perform as well in the next 10 years as they have in the last 10 will be disappointed. Bonds can play an This post illustrates the increase in U. However, considering price alone is a misleading way to evaluate the The chart works not ju This post addresses that question for "any" start-year -- and an It works for bonds, CDs Stock Market Annual Performance since bar chart.
In this post, we graph total stock market returns by year -- going all the way back to Total return includes dividend income as well A Personal Strategic Plan Example. Personal Strategic Planning Can Change Your Life Not many years ago, a friend confided that she was less than thrilled with her life RECENTLY POPULAR POSTS FOLLOW by category, excluding the above top Why Investing in the Stock Market for Less Than 5 Years is Risky Interest Rate Forecast for 5-Year Treasuries The Importance of Bond Duration.
Housing Posts Planning to Buy a House Spreadsheet Years of Inflation-Adjusted Housing Price History Housing vs. Technology Posts Dropcam Security Camera: A Quickie Review Getting Started With Windows 8 - The Start Screen Syncing Android Calendars w PCs MS Outlook.
Observations QR Code Observations QR Code. Rates of Return, ROI Impact of Valuation e. Is It Time Yet? Stock Market Earnings Growth History and a Worst C My Summer Vacation Sobering Comment Wall Street Bailout, or Main Street Rescue?
The Next Minsky Moment 3 days ago. Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor Economics. Seven Things You Should Know About the Art Market 2 years ago. Non-blogs Jeremy Grantham Investing Bill Gross Bonds John Hussman: Weekly Market Comment Investing.
Theme images by Petrovich9. Dow Index Year History Chart.