In fact, if you email me asking about trends…I will probably refer you to this article!
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Many traders spend countless hours and dollars on trend-following trading systems or on indicators that just end up confusing them and making the process of trend discovery a lot more difficult than it needs to be. I have always been a strong proponent of visual observation of the raw price action of a market, as you probably know.
Let me make a quick note before we proceed: However, just randomly jumping in with a trending market is not an edge or a strategy. As a market moves higher or lower, its previous turning points, or swing points as I like to call them, become reference points that we can use to help us determine the trend of a market.
The most basic way to identify a trend is to check and see if a market is making a pattern of higher highs and higher lows for an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows for a downtrend. If you do not see a pattern of HH HL or LH LL, but instead you see sideways price movement with no obvious general up or down direction to it, then you are probably looking at a range-bound market or one that is simply chopping back and forth.
Most traders make trend discovery WAY too difficult. Trending markets tend to make strong moves in the direction of the trend followed by periods of consolidation or a counter-trend retrace before the next leg in the direction of the trend.
You will notice this pattern happens in almost any trend you can find. Typically, what happens to many traders is that they will make some money during the periods of strong directional trend movement, but then they continue to trade as the market takes a breather from the trend and consolidates. In the diagram above, we can see that a trending market tends to move in spurts, moving in the direction of the trend and then stalling to take a breath before another leg in the direction of the trend.
Now, all trends are obviously not exactly the same, but we do typically see the general pattern described above; a forceful move in the direction of the trend followed by a period of consolidation or a retracement in the opposite direction. Now, these retraces are when we have the highest potential for a high probability entry within the trend. Often, a market will retrace to approximately the level of its previous swing point before the trend resumes.
In an uptrend these swing points are support and in downtrends they are resistance. These support levels resulted after the market began to retrace lower within the structure of the broader uptrend. These same principles apply in a down trending market but we would be looking for price action setups from resistance rather than support.
As we discussed previously, a trending market will tend to surge in one direction and then slow down and either consolidate in a sideways manner or retrace lower or higher, depending on what direction the dominant trend is.
My primary mission as a price action trader is to watch for obvious price action setups that form after a market retraces back to a confluent level in the market. This can be a swing point like we discussed above, a moving average level, or some other support or resistance level.
By value, I mean from an optimum point in the market that has proved significant before. I use them as a general guide and a helper to find confluent points in a market. For example, often the 21 day EMA will align with a swing point in a trending market, this would be considered a confluent level since you have multiple factors lining up together. Then, if we see a price action signal there, we know we are seeing a setup form in a very high-probability area on the chart.
We only use them as a helper to see dynamic support and resistance levels to add confluence and for trend direction. Instead, we want to enter closer to key market levels, swing points, EMA levels confluent levels in the market…always with confirmation from a price action signal.
One aspect of trend trading that I want to touch on briefly is that trends in Forex tend to differ from those in other markets, especially equities. In Forex, bearish and bullish trends are typically equally as violent and potent…whereas in equity markets we tend to see slower moving price action in a bull market, along with lower volatility. Down-trending markets tend to be fast and volatile in equity markets.
Forex trends tend to be the same in their volatility and price action whether the trend is up or down. Thus, in Forex, your trading strategy and plan will generally be the same for both up and down markets.
In the equity markets, traders typically need to adjust their strategies or systems as a market moves from bull to bear or vice versa. Take advantage of trends when they happen — There is never anything concrete with trends…meaning you never know how long they will last for, so try to take advantage of them when they do occur. The trick is to learn how to identify a trending market so that you can get the most out of it and get on board as early as possible.
Trend following is a large part of my Price Action Forex Trading Course and of my general trading strategy. Nail, I have learned something from this lesson and am willing to start with visual power to look out for trends very well before any trade ambition. Hello Nial, You have a brilliant and unique way of teaching forex trading which makes you stand out from the crowd. And anyone who really wants to take forex trading serious needs your lessons which I think are priceless and generous of you to give.
Thanks and God bless you. Thanks for the trading formula. It will be helpful and effective. Straight to the point to keep focused on choosing quality trade set ups. To me your teachings has being remarkable so far. I will be trading real money next month but unfortunately starting with just dollars account.
Though I already had the knowledge of japanees candle stick signals but your teachings has really made me to know key areas to use them on daily time frame,one trade per week,at confluence level and strong money management which I have decided to risk just 20 dollars per trade per week to make 40 or more out of my dollars account.
Nial indeed I can really confirm you are truly a prof in the world of forex and if I really succeed in it,its in fact directly as a result of your lack of greed in disclosing to the world the best way to make it in forex. Ones more thank you so much. Perhaps I will let you know my progress when the time comes.
I m still reading thru n trying to implement these into my demo account. I hpe to get it right soon. Nial you are the Main Man! Thanks you for this email , it is very fruitful to me, call it mental Armour! Thanks you Nial God bless you over and over! You are an indeed good mentor I have ever seen that expose the Golden mystery of forex trading. A million thanks to you sir. Excellent article, thanks Niall. I have been following your site for the last few months.
Although only trading with a dummy account, I made a profit in the last 5 months by only following your basic price action strategies. Eager to enrol on your course when my live account is set up. Nial like to thank you for the nice article on trading trends. A good article on trend trading…you told about price values as deterministic factor to make an entry but would like to know when to exit before the retracement and how to find it…Thank you very much.
Thanks Nial, for the great article as evidenced by all these comments. Now that we know how to identify a trend lets put our knowledge into practice. The challenge is that trends not as common as we would want them to occur! Lets also add patience to the mix and sharpen the Sniper mentality. What I like to do is look at the Forex market in real time and see the raw trend.
And i would like to be professional and inspirational as you are or even better if i may say.. Thank you to sharing this article. I follow your site every day that help me for trading in the market. Now i am a perfect trader of price action. All of your articles carefully study week and put into practice. I believe in a positive result. Your article is fundamentally changed my attitude to the trade.
My heart was calm and quiet confidence in the results. Your words about trend are very important for me. I am brazilian, so, my english not is very expansive. I love that part. Thanks Nial for this Great Article.
Fuller, you are the one that God sent to deliver me from 6 years of ups and DOWNS in this business. May the Lord God of my fathers continue to bless you in Jesus Name. Thanks Nial, you are the best…. As I practice in my trading, I will not trade until I confident with the price direction trend. I am currently trading only pin bars in trending markets and this article has given me insight into my way of trading. You continue to build a great resource library that is growing in knowledge and if used appropriately will turn to gold!
Thanks very much Nial, I think without your web I would be stucked on nearly the same place where I was before I found it about half year ago. Thanks Nial, great article.
I love this way of trading with the inside bar strategy. But patience is the key here.
Thanks loved this article heaps. NOW I know why all my profits are gone before I can even start bragging about making them! Excellent article, direct and concise on how to identify the trend. Thank you once again.
As you said, many times I have given back my profits in the retracement period. Great article as usual. After a year of hard work and many hours of learning I can say with confidence, that You are probably the best teacher that one can find on the internet, price action is the best way to trade, and indicators create only confusion in market analysis. Take care and best of luck to You.
Your article is really amazing. At this position whether we have to wait for the confiirmation of the uptrend continuation or we have to decide tat the trend ends up and the downtrend started? Grow up to be patient enough to sit tight and wait for this triple combination.
What an excellent information for us to clarify and make our mind clearly while we are trading. Many thanks Nial, you have a articulate way of explaining your approach to trading. This transfers into my enthusiasm for your next posting.
I look forward to your next lesson. Another great lesson Nial. When I change from 1hr to 4hr to daily it seems to throw out of wack the support and resistance levels. Can you use the same techniques described in this lesson to scalp trades on shorter time frames eg. Thanks my inbox is so full of e mails but for some reason yours is not deleted I read it all with intrest thank you.
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Estou aprendendo muito com os seus artigos. Gostaria de fazer o seu curso. I guess this really is one of the harder things to learn, when is it a good time to trade? Is it a trend, or is it choppy? We can see how the different setups looks like, IB, Pinbar and Fakey, but where is it ok to use them? Nial, thank you for this excellent article. Each and every article you post here is better than the previous ones, which are, without exception, also very useful.
I learned so much with the above lesson. The 21 EMA as a guide to swing points and taking advantage of trends, when they are present, are great pieces of advice.
This very article can change some bodies life forever… Nial, more grease to your elbow. Nial,you are a great teacher…Thanks for sharing your knowledge, experience and observations here with us…. Nial it took me 4yrs to finally get what you have been saying all these years. A couple of days ago I was watching an old interview of you and the lite bub came on in my head it was one of those moments where everything came full circle…..
I so get it now……. I Thank you a BILLION TIMES you have changed my life forever!!!! Thanks a lot Mr. This is a free lesson very valuable at all time to me and may be other forex traders.
The support and resistance you have been talking about have shown its perfect us in this lesson. Cheers Niall , another excellent article , very well researched , explained and written. Thanx for all your efforts once again. Your email address will not be published. Notify me of follow-up comments by email.
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Please remember that the past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. How To Trade Trends In Forex — A Complete Guide By Nial Fuller in Forex Trading Strategies Comments. Characteristics of trending markets Trending markets tend to make strong moves in the direction of the trend followed by periods of consolidation or a counter-trend retrace before the next leg in the direction of the trend.
Trading from value in trends My primary mission as a price action trader is to watch for obvious price action setups that form after a market retraces back to a confluent level in the market. Final notes on trading with trends: Finally, I leave you with this little formula: Good trading, Nial Fuller. Now I want to hear from you! March 23, at 8: February 1, at 8: November 23, at 9: September 30, at 7: R B Dube says: August 22, at 5: July 7, at 4: June 21, at 5: January 22, at 6: November 5, at 6: October 19, at August 10, at 1: August 5, at 7: July 31, at 8: June 28, at 7: June 22, at 4: June 7, at 9: May 14, at 6: May 11, at 6: May 11, at 5: March 23, at 6: January 3, at 3: December 20, at 3: December 19, at December 7, at 2: December 5, at 6: September 2, at 7: June 26, at 3: June 23, at June 8, at Mohammad Aminul Islam says: May 24, at May 15, at 9: Samuel David Jackson says: May 14, at 8: May 3, at 5: April 11, at February 8, at 4: January 30, at 3: November 21, at 3: September 28, at 6: September 25, at 3: May 17, at 9: March 1, at 4: February 18, at 6: December 10, at 2: November 30, at 5: October 27, at October 14, at 3: October 14, at 5: October 5, at 9: September 26, at September 23, at September 22, at September 17, at 4: September 16, at 4: September 15, at September 14, at 7: September 13, at September 13, at 4: September 12, at 8: September 12, at 6: September 12, at 1: September 11, at 9: September 10, at 7: September 10, at 4: September 10, at 3: September 10, at 1: September 9, at Gordy Caverly - US says: September 9, at 2: September 9, at 7: September 9, at 4: September 9, at 1: September 8, at September 8, at 9: September 8, at 8: September 8, at 6: September 8, at 5: September 8, at 4: September 8, at 2: September 8, at 1: Ramli M Salleh says: September 8, at 7: Munyr Adamu Umar says: September 7, at September 7, at 9: September 7, at 8: Leave a Comment Cancel reply Your email address will not be published.
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