Join the NASDAQ Community today and get free, instant access to portfolios, stock ratings, real-time alerts, and more! A month ago, I discussed how the dollar might trade depending on whether Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton was elected President. We can sum up the evidence in a few graphs.Democratic vs. Republican Debate Demonstrators: See Any Difference?
Those figures may be disrupted by a few extreme years. Yet looking at the medians, the 0. The US economy has grown an average of 4.
The median tells a similar story: The US economy has grown One might say that this record is distorted by the long tenure of Democratic President Roosevelt, who also held office during a war, but the results are similar if take only the post-WWII period: The stock market performance reflects the overall economic performance. On the contrary, the median tells an even more dramatic story: And the volatility standard deviation of return has been lower under the Democrats, too.
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Other economic variables, such as unemployment, show a similar pattern. The track record of the two parties is another reason why I expect the dollar to continue rising if Hillary Clinton wins and to fall if Donald Trump wins. The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
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Democrat vs. Republican stock market returns - Business Insider
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